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Milwaukee Bucks at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and predictions

The Milwaukee Bucks (40-25) visit Paycom Center Tuesday to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (20-44). Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Bucks vs. Thunder odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Bucks are coming off a 132-122 home win over the Phoenix Suns, covering as 9-point favorites. The Bucks are just 3-6 against the spread (ATS) over their last nine games despite that they’ve covered three of their last four outings.

Milwaukee is 17-13 straight up on the road this season and will enter as heavy favorites against a banged-up Thunder team.

The Thunder have had limited success since the return of G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander despite having several key players injured. Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 33.3 points, 6 rebounds and 6.7 assists over six games since he returned from a 10 game absence.

The Thunder are 3-3 ATS in those 6 games and are 2-2 ATS when given double digits on the spread over that span. They’re 38-22-4 ATS on the season, the second-best covering rate in the NBA.

Bucks at Thunder odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:07 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bucks -1200 (bet $1,200 to win $100) | Thunder +700 (bet $100 to win $700)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bucks -13.5 (-107) | Thunder +13.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Bucks at Thunder key injuries

Bucks

  • G Grayson Allen (hip) out
  • G Pat Connaughton (finger) out

Thunder

  • G Lu Dort (shoulder) out
  • C Derrick Favors (back) out
  • G Josh Giddey (hip) out
  • C Isaiah Roby (back) questionable

Bucks at Thunder odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 123, Thunder 107

Money line

PASS.

The Bucks at -1200 has no value, but with Milwaukee surging and having playoff positioning to play for, I expect them to come out on top. The Bucks are also the far healthier side.

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Against the spread

BET the BUCKS -13.5 (-107).

The Thunder’s key injuries should prove to be too much.

While SGA has been a menace offensively, he’ll be met by G Jrue Holiday, one of the best perimeter defenders in the league with 3 All-Defensive team nominations to his name.

He’s tallied over 37 minutes in three straight games, so there should be a healthy dose of Holiday in this battle. The Thunder don’t have the length needed to stop F Giannis Antetokounmpo who is averaging 29.2 points per game.

The Bucks are also 8-6 ATS this season when spotted double figures, and I expect them to come out strong in this one. Milwaukee is 14-7 ATS this season as a road favorite.

Over/Under

PASS with a slight lean to the Over 230.5 (-107).

The Bucks are 8-2 O/U over their last 10 while the Thunder, who typically have prided themselves on their defense this season, are 6-3-1 O/U. OKC ranks 10th in defensive rating.

The Over is the stronger play here, but considering the defensive potential by both teams, I’d sit this one out.

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