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Utah Jazz at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and predictions

The Utah Jazz (39-23) visit Paycom Center Sunday to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (20-43). Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Jazz vs. Thunder odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Jazz may have covered six of their last 10 games but they haven’t played well as of late with just one cover in their last five outings. Utah is 27-33-2 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

The Jazz haven’t been destroying teams this season despite their 39-23 record and the league’s third-best net rating (plus-6.0). Utah is led by G Donovan Mitchell who averages 25.9 points per game.

The Thunder are the second-best covering team in the NBA with a 37-22-4 ATS record.

However, they’re still 7 games outside of play-in contention with just 20 wins on the season. The Thunder are led by G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander who is averaging 23.8 points per game.

Jazz at Thunder odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:23 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Jazz -1400 (bet $1,400 to win $100) | Thunder +750 (bet $100 to win $750)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Jazz -13.5 (-112) | Thunder +13.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Jazz at Thunder key injuries

Jazz

  • G Mike Conley (knee) out

Thunder

  • G Lu Dort (shoulder) out
  • C Derrick Favors (back) out
  • G Josh Giddey (hip) out
  • F Aaron Wiggins (ankle) questionable

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Jazz at Thunder odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Jazz 116, Thunder 112

Money line

PASS.

There is some credibility to backing the Thunder at +750 as they just knocked off the Denver Nuggets 119-107 at Ball Arena Wednesday, but I’d still shy away and play the points.

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Against the spread

“LEAN” to the THUNDER +13.5 (-108).

The Thunder are 3-2 ATS when spotted double figures Since the Feb. 10 trade deadline, including a win in Denver as 15.5-point underdogs.

OKC is 14-11-4 ATS as a home underdog, a position the Thunder have often found themselves in. The Thunder rank 10th in defensive rating (109.3) and 12th in turnover rate (13.7).

Utah’s defensive play has actually not been close to what it was a season ago as the Jazz are 13th in defensive rating (109.8) as compared to third last season. The Jazz are just 7-14-1 ATS as double-digit favorites.

Putting it all together, I’d side with OKC in this one.

Over/Under

BET on the OVER 220.5 (-108).

With SGA having been back in action since Feb. 24, the Thunder have hit the Over in four of five games and pushed in the other one.

They’re 6-0-1 O/U over their last seven games, so SGA has helped spark their offense. He’s scored 29 points or more in all five games since his return. Utah has gone Over the projected total in three of its last four as well.

The Thunder are first in pace over their last five games and SGA has been pushing the ball. I’d bet on that happening again Sunday.

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