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UFC 272: Edson Barboza vs. Bryce Mitchell odds, picks and prediction

In a featherweight fight on the main card, Edson Barboza and Bryce Mitchell meet Saturday at UFC 272 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC 272: Barboza vs. Mitchell odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The early prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ at 6 p.m. ET, with the prelims starting at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+ and the main card on pay-per-view starting at 10 p.m. ET.

Barboza is looking to bounce back after getting knocked out in the third round last time out against Giga Chikadze in August. While each of Barboza’s past two fights have resulted in knockouts – a win and a loss – three of his past five bouts went the distance.

The Brazilian fighter is just 2-4 across the past six fights, and 3-6 over the previous nine outings.

Mitchell is looking to add to Barboza’s woes. The American – a.k.a. “Thug Nasty” – has picked up unanimous-decision victories in two straight, and decision wins in four of his past five professional outings. However, his last fight was way back in October, 2022 when he went the distance to beat Andre Fili.

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UFC 272 Barboza vs. Mitchell: Odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:28 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Barboza +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Mitchell -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +125 | No -175)

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UFC 272 Barboza vs. Mitchell: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Records: Barboza (22-10-0) | Mitchell (14-1-0)

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

MITCHELL (-175) is a good play, as he has posted four straight victories since his UFC debut, including three unanimous-decision wins and a submission of Matt Sayles in December, 2019.

Barboza went the distance in three of his past five fights, and Mitchell will put him to the test here, making Barboza work.

Look for MITCHELL BY POINTS (+235) for a chance to more than double up your initial wager.

Over/Under (O/U)

Play YES: FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE (+125), which is a very good value at plus-money.

Mitchell has just one stoppage in four fights since making his UFC debut March 23, 2019 against Bobby Moffett. Barboza also ended up going the distance in three of his past five outings. In fact, playing this fight to go the distance, along with the Colby Covington-Jorge Masvidal and/or the Rafael dos Anjos-Renato Moicano fights, makes for a nice little parlay.

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