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Indiana at Purdue odds, picks and prediction

The Indiana Hoosiers (18-11, 9-10 Big Ten) battle the No. 9 Purdue Boilermakers (24-6, 13-6) Saturday in West Lafayette. Tip-off at Mackey Arena is scheduled for 2 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we look at the Indiana vs. Purdue odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Indiana is coming off a Wednesday home loss to Rutgers 66-63. The Hoosiers likely have played themselves out of an NCAA Tournament bid as they’re just 2-6 since the beginning of February.

IU upset Purdue 68-65 in Bloomington Jan. 20. The victory marked the Hoosiers’ first over the Boilermakers since 2016, snapping Purdue’s 9-game win streak in the series.

The Boilermakers are coming off back-to-back road losses. Purdue was undone by turnovers in losses at No. 25 Michigan State (68-65 Feb. 26) and No. 10 Wisconsin (70-67 Tuesday). Purdue fumbled a combined 26 turnovers against just 15 for the Spartans and Badgers. Between the loss to IU and the twin setbacks to MSU and UW, the Boilermakers had won nine of 10.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Indiana at Purdue odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indiana +420 (bet $100 to win $420) | Purdue -600 (bet $600 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Indiana +10.5 (-120) | Purdue -10.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 140.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Indiana at Purdue odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 81, Indiana 69

Money line

PASS.

The true win probabilities on both sides are locked between these prices.

Against the spread

The Hoosiers are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as road underdogs. In this series, the home team is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.

Purdue is light years better on offense and has played improving defense the last couple weeks. Peg the Boilermakers with plus differentials – 3-point shooting, free-throw frequency and rebounding – where they are needed to pull off a double-digit win.

BACK THE BOILERMAKERS -10.5 (-105) on a slim profit margin.

Over/Under

The strongest play in this matchup is on the OVER 140.5 (-107).

IU’s offense has been posting better analytics in recent games. With its advantages in 3’s, free throws, and second-chance baskets, Purdue brings to fore a lot of pile-up-points factors.

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