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UFC Vegas 49: Misha Cirkunov vs. Wellington Turman odds, picks and prediction

In a middleweight fight on the main card, Misha Cirkunov and Wellington Turman meet Saturday at UFC Vegas 49 – also known as UFC Fight Night 202 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC Vegas 49: Cirkunov vs. Turman odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The card can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims starting at 4 p.m. ET and the main card at 7 p.m.

Cirkunov heads into this one looking for a turnaround. He has dropped his last two fights while going 2-5 across the past seven bouts. Cirkunov had a split-decision loss to Krzysztof Jotko last time out in Oct. and was knocked out in the first round against Ryan Spann last March.

The slight favorite enters this one with a three-inch height advantage and five-inch reach advantage. He also has posted a 3.77-to-3.04 significant strikes landed per minute, while also holding a 61.94-to-53.44 significant strike accuracy percentage advantage.

To make matters worse for Turman, he isn’t great on the canvas either. Cirkunov holds a 4.48-to-2.22 takedown average, with a 1.68-to-0.56 submission average lead. There is no one area when Turman holds the advantage outside of the youth factor, as he is 25 years old compared to 34 years of age for the favorite. Cirkunov turns 35 years old Sunday.

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UFC Vegas 49 Cirkunov vs. Turman: Odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Cirkunov -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Turman +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +135 | No -190)

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UFC Vegas 49 Cirkunov vs. Green: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Records: Cirkunov (15-7-0) | Green (17-5-0)

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

It’s a good play taking CIRKUNOV (-130) straight up to win this bout. He holds all of the advantages from significant strikes to his ground game, while also holding a tremendous reach advantage to keep Turman at bay.

The reach advantage is good for Cirkunov, as he’ll be able to keep Turman at a distance. The favorite has lost four fights since May 28, 2017, by KO/TKO, so the fact Turman will have a difficult time getting close to Cirkunov is good news. Turman has also been knocked out twice in the past three fights, so he won’t likely be eager to get too close to Cirkunov, either.

Over/Under (O/U)

Playing CIRKUNOV BY POINTS (+400) is a value play, with a chance to multiply your initial stake by four times. In addition, YES: FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE (+135) is also a value at plus-money. Three of Turman’s five fights at the UFC level have ended up needing the assistance of the judges, including a split-decision win over Smilin’ Sam Alvey last time out Aug. 28, 2021. Expect a similar result here.

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