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Miami Heat at New York Knicks odds, picks and predictions

The Miami Heat (38-21) visit Madison Square Garden Friday to take on the New York Knicks (25-34). Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Heat vs. Knicks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Heat are 2nd in the Eastern Conference after a Chicago Bulls victory Thursday. Their first action since the All-Star break will be this lone road outing before a two-game homestand begins Saturday.

Miami is 33-25-1 against the spread (ATS) this season and is 4-5-1 ATS over its last 10. The Heat are 19-14 straight up on the road this season which compares favorably to the Knicks’ 13-17 home record.

New York is 26-33 ATS this season and is led by its 17th ranked defensive rating (110.3), while its offensive rating is 25th (108.4). The Knicks are just 3-5 ATS this season as home underdogs.

Heat at Knicks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:08 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Heat -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Knicks +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Heat -5.5 (-110) | Knicks +5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 210.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Heat at Knicks key injuries

Heat

  • None

Knicks

  • F RJ Barrett (ankle) questionable
  • C Nerlens Noel (foot) questionable
  • G Derrick Rose (ankle) doubtful

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Heat at Knicks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 107, Knicks 100

Money line

PASS.

Tossing the Heat in a parlay wouldn’t be a bettors’ worst idea, but playing them outright on their own at -230 doesn’t have a ton of value. The Knicks are just 2-6 straight up as home underdogs.

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Against the spread

“LEAN” to MIAMI -5.5 (-110).

Simply put, Miami is the better team and New York hasn’t played well at home this season. The Knicks are 12-17 straight up on the road and 13-17 at home, basically showing no homecourt advantage.

The Heat rank eighth in offensive rating and sixth in defensive rating. The Suns are the only other team to be ranked top eight in both areas.

One thing the Knicks are actually decent at is the offensive glass as theyrank seventh in offensive rebounding rate. However, the Heat counter that nicely with their ninth in defensive rebounding rate.

They’ll take away the Knicks’ edge and likely be able to pull away.

Over/Under

BET on the UNDER 210.5 (-107).

While the Heat have a top-10 offense, they play at one of the slowest paces in the NBA. Miami sits 28th in pace while New York is just below it at 29th.

The Heat are 35-24 O/U this season yet have had the Under hit in five of their last seven games.

The Knicks’ offensive woes against a good defense should loom large. They rank 27th in points per game at 105.1. New York is 16-20 O/U in conference games as well.

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