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LSU at Kentucky odds, picks and prediction

The LSU Tigers (19-8, 7-7 SEC) visit the No. 3 Kentucky Wildcats (22-5, 11-3) Wednesday for a 9 p.m. ET tip (ESPN). Below, we look at the LSU vs. Kentucky odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

LSU is coming off a 77-75 road loss at South Carolina Saturday. The Tigers failed to cover as 4.5-point favorites and are now 3-7 against the spread (ATS) over their last 10 games.

On the season though, they’re 16-11 ATS, but they’re just 6-8 ATS in conference play, as are the Wildcats.

Despite winning eight of their last 10, the Wildcats are just 4-6 ATS over that span. They’re not much better on the season, just 13-14. Even at home, where they’re undefeated (16-0), the ‘Cats are just 9-7 ATS.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

LSU at Kentucky odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:29 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: LSU +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Kentucky -340 (bet $340 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): LSU +7.5 (-110) | Kentucky -7.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 142.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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LSU at Kentucky odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Kentucky 76, LSU 71

Money line

PASS.

As mentioned, Kentucky is a perfect 16-0 at home, and although it’ll likely be without two key playmakers, it found a way to take care of business against Alabama and should do the same against LSU.

But at -340, it’s not worth the risk.

Against the spread

BET LSU +7.5 (-110).

Kentucky beat now-No. 25 Alabama 90-81 at Rupp Arena Saturday. The Wildcats managed to cover as 5.5-point home favorites after being down double digits in the first half, but they needed all 7 of G Kellan Grady’s 3’s – he was 7-for-9 from long distance as the Wildcats finished 9-for-14 (64.3%) from deep.

Assuming the Wildcats regress to the mean and are still without their top two perimeter defenders in G Sahvir Wheeler (wrist) and G TyTy Washington (ankle), the Tigers should be able to hang close.

LSU also has a top-tier defense, which should counterattack Kentucky’s offense, which is ranked ninth in the nation, averaging 80.9 points per game.

LSU ranks seventh in opponents’ field-goal percentage (38.1%) and sixth in opponents’ 3-point rate (28.2%), so Grady might struggle to get going like he did Saturday.

With the Kentucky possibly out two of its top five scorers against the best defense in the SEC, and both teams having struggled to cover lately, I’ll take the one that’s been far better on the season at cashing winning tickets.

That’s LSU +7.5 (-110).

Over/Under

LEAN to the OVER 142.5 (-115).

While LSU has a thriving defense and has gone Under in 17 of 27 games, it’s been a drastically different story recently.

The Tigers held three of their last four opponents Under 69 points, but LSU is 7-1 O/U in its last eight games.

The Wildcats own a 13-14 O/U record for the season, and are 5-5 O/U across their last 10 games. They’ve scored 78 or more points in three of their last four.

Both teams are 7-7 O/U in conference play.

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