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Northern Colorado at Sacramento State odds, picks and prediction

The Northern Colorado Bears (12-11, 7-4 Big Sky) visit The Nest Thursday to tangle with the Sacramento State Hornets (6-13, 2-10) in a 10 p.m. ET conference battle. Below, we look at the Northern Colorado vs. Sacramento State odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Northern Colorado is coming off a home-and-home sweep of Northern Arizona. The wins snapped a three-game losing skid for the Bears. At 38.0%, UNC is one of the top 3-point shooting teams in the Big Sky Conference. The Bears have been especially hot from distance of late. Over their last seven games, they’ve connected on 41.3% of their treys.

Sacramento State has lost three straight games and seven of its last eight. The Hornets rank 10th in the 11-team Big Sky in scoring. They’ve scored more than 65 points just once in that eight-game stretch. The game before that spell came against these Bears – in Greeley, Colo. – and the Hornets scored 85 in a 14-point win.

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Northern Colorado at Sacramento State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:24 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Northern Colorado -280 (bet $280 to win $100) | Sacramento State +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Northern Colorado -5.5 (-120) | Sacramento State +5.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 141.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Northern Colorado at Sacramento State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Northern Colorado 70, Sacramento State 65

Money line

PASS.

Against the spread

The O/U play here is way more enticing. There would be a sliver of value on the Hornets if the line climbs above +6.

Over/Under

The Under is 4-0 in the Hornets’ last four home games. Slow-paced Sacramento State has leaned toward Under games when playing the league’s fast teams.

Neither team here hits the offensive glass with much success nor finds its way to a lot of free-throw attempts. Threes account for a big chunk of the Bears’ offense, but they’ve been feeding on some Big Sky foes who are really bad in defending the 3-ball. The Hornets are about average in denying the distance game.

Sacramento State took the first head-to-head meeting this season 85-71 on the road. That O/U line was tabbed at 144 points.

As you see, it went Over by 12 points. Look for this one to swing back the other way – there is solid value on the 141.5 (-107).

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