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Memphis Grizzlies at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

The Memphis Grizzlies (38-18) travel to Little Caesars Arena Thursday to take on the Detroit Pistons (12-42). Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Pistons odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Grizzlies come into this game after beating the Los Angeles Clippers 135-109 at home Tuesday. They’ve covered the spread in three straight games, six of their last seven and seven of their last 10.

The Grizzlies’ 37-19 against the spread (ATS) record is the best in the NBA. Memphis is led by G Ja Morant, who is the favorite for the Most Improved Player of the Year at Tipico Sportsbook.

The Pistons’ top scorer F Jerami Grant returned to the lineup Feb. 1 after being sidelined since Dec. 10. He’ll look to help a Detroit team that ranks 29th in points per game (102.1) and 29th in field goal percentage (42.0%).

The Pistons are 5-5 ATS over their last 10 games but are just 1-4 ATS over their last five. Detroit is 26-28 ATS on the season.

Grizzlies at Pistons odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:39 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Grizzlies -800 (bet $800 to win $100) | Pistons +520 (bet $100 to win $520)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies -10.5 (-115) | Pistons +10.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Grizzlies at Pistons key injuries

Grizzlies

  • G Dillon Brooks (ankle) out

Pistons

  • G Cade Cunningham (hip) questionable
  • G Killian Hayes (tibia) probable

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Grizzlies at Pistons odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 114, Pistons 103

Money line

PASS on the money line.

No regular-season NBA favorite is worth betting -800 on the money line, especially one on the road. I also wouldn’t bank on an upset considering how well Memphis has been playing as of late.

Against the spread

BET the GRIZZLIES -10.5 (-115).

The Grizzlies have been far too good in almost every aspect of the game to bet against.

They’ll also have a significant rebounding edge as they rank first in offensive rebounding rate and the Pistons rank 24th in defensive rebounding. The Grizzlies also rank eighth in turnover rate, whereas the Pistons are 25th.

Memphis and the Phoenix Suns are the only two teams in the NBA that rank in the top seven in both offensive and defensive rating. The Grizzlies are the real deal and are 6-2 ATS as road favorites as well.

Lastly, Detroit has covered just one in its last game while Memphis is red hot and has covered six of its last seven. Considering all the edges the Grizzlies will have, their spread is the only way to play this battle.

Over/Under

BET on the UNDER 224.5 (-107).

The Pistons don’t have many playmakers and rank 29th in true shooting percentage. The Grizzlies, despite being efficient offensively, are still just 24th in true shooting, a metric that factors in three-point shooting as well.

While Memphis has been red hot offensively, the Pistons haven’t been, and that should play more of a factor.

They’ve scored fewer than 95 points in two of their last three games and have gone Under the projected total in three straight outings and in six of their last 10. Detroit is 10-12 O/U as a home underdog.

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