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NBA playoff prop bets: Denver Nuggets Nikola Jokic props for 6/3/2021

Thursday’s NBA Playoffs slate features some interesting betting options, including the Denver Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic prop bets. Let’s take a look at the markets and lines for Jokic in this postseason matchup. Jokic has an over/under of 31.5 points in his matchup with the Portland Trail Blazers on Thursday.

Over his last five games, Jokic has finished with an average of 32.4 points, 11 rebounds and 4.2 assists per contest. On the season, he’s averaged 26.8 points, 10.8 rebounds and 8.1 assists while shooting 56.2% from the floor.

The Nuggets will match up with the Trail Blazers on Thursday in Game 6 of their First Round series, starting at 8:00 PM ET. The Trail Blazers are being picked to win the game by sportsbooks, who list them as 4.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 227.5 points. How will Jokic perform relative to his betting lines? Let’s break down his performances and dig into some insights to find out.

Nikola Jokic prop bets breakdown

  • Points Over/Under: 31.5
  • Over Odds: -125
  • Under Odds: -105
  • Points per game: 26.8

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.
Lines last updated at 1:41 PM EST on June 3, 2021.

Nikola Jokic points insights

  • The 31.5 point total set for Jokic’s game Thursday is 4.7 more points than his season scoring average.
  • Jokic has scored more than 31.5 points 23 times this season (out of 77 total games — 29.9%).
  • Jokic’s season-long scoring average, 26.8 points per game, is 2.6 points higher than his average points prop bet total.
  • In 56.1% of his matchups this year, Jokic has hit the over on his point total (37 out of 66 chances).
  • 54.5% of Jokic’s outings this year have seen him hit the over on his season-long average points prop total of 24.2 points (42 out of 77 games).
  • The Trail Blazers’ opponents are averaging 116.1 points per game, which is the fifth-most allowed by an NBA squad this season.

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Nikola Jokic rebound insights

  • Jokic’s per-game rebound average of 10.8 is 0.3 more rebounds than his prop bet over/under for Thursday’s game (10.5).
  • In 48.1% of his games this year (37 out of 77), Jokic has gone over his prop bet total for his next matchup (10.5 boards).
  • Jokic has collected 0.2 more rebounds (10.8 per game) than his season average prop bet (10.6).
  • Only 47% of the time this season (31 of 66 opportunities), Jokic has hit the over on his rebounds prop bet total.
  • In just 48.1% of his games (37 of 77 contests), Jokic has surpassed his average rebounds prop bet total (10.6).
  • Teams are collecting 46.9 rebounds per game against the Trail Blazers this season, the fourth-most given up by a squad.

Nikola Jokic assists insights

  • Jokic’s season-long assist average — 8.1 per game — is 1.6 assists higher than Thursday’s assist prop bet value (6.5).
  • In 46 out of 77 games this season (59.7%) Jokic has collected more than 6.5 assists.
  • Jokic has averaged 8.1 assists per game, 0.3 less per game than his average assist prop bet total of 8.4.
  • In only 45.5% of Jokic’s games (35 out of 77) he’s recorded more than 8.4 assists (his average assist prop over/under this season).
  • The Trail Blazers’ opponents are dishing out 24.9 assists per game, which is the 12th-most allowed by an NBA squad this season.

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