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Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and prediction

Sep 18, 2019; St. Louis, MO, USA; Washington Nationals starting pitcher Max Scherzer (31) pitches during the third inning against the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. Photo Credit: Jeff Curry - USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Nationals (16-22) and Chicago Cub (21-20) tangle Wednesday night at 7:40 p.m. ET in the continuation of a four-game series at Wrigley Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Max Scherzer is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 3-2 with a 2.10 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, 11.9 K/9 and 1.4 BB/9 in 51 1/3 IP over 8 starts this season.

Scherzer enters this contest on a roll. Over his last three starts (21 1/3 IP), he has yielded just a .373 OPS while striking out 30 batters. Current Cubs own a .642 OPS and .134 isolated power against the veteran right-hander.

RHP Jake Arrieta is the projected starter for the Cubs. He is 4-3 with a 4.10 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 in 37 1/3 IP over 7 starts.

Arrieta has thus far exhibited a drop in fastball velocity, and he has benefited from generous rates around the margins with a .248 BABIP, for instance.

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Nationals at Cubs odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:05 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Cubs +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals -1.5 (+100) |  Cubs +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 9 ( O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Nationals 6, Cubs 3

Money line (ML)

The Cubs took the first two games of the series by scores of 7-3 and 6-3.

The Nats offense has performed well on the road with a high-contact .729 OPS and overall has Statcast figures that tell the story of a team hitting the ball better than the production shows in the scoring column. The Cubs’ Statcast numbers swing the other way.

Add in a strength-of-schedule component that calls for a Chicago fade and a batter’s breeze which figures to hurt Arrieta more than Scherzer. BACK WASHINGTON (-160).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

This game has just a sliver of an Over lean, but the Nats’ underrated offense makes the run-and-a-half prop worth a look, perhaps as an undercard/partial-unit play. BACK THE NATIONALS -1.5 (+100).

Over/Under (O/U)

Respecting the total here: PASS.

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