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Charlotte Hornets at New York Knicks odds, picks and prediction

May 11, 2021; Los Angeles, California, USA; New York Knicks forward Julius Randle (30) celebrates after a three-point basket with guard RJ Barrett (9) and center Taj Gibson (67) during the overtime period against the Los Angeles Lakers at Staples Center. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Knicks (39-31) host the Charlotte Hornets (33-37) Saturday at Madison Square Garden for a 1 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Hornets-Knicks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Charlotte has lost three games in a row and four of its past five games while going 2-3 against the spread. The Hornets hold the tiebreaker with the ninth-place Indiana Pacers for the 8-seed in the Eastern Conference.

New York rallied back from a double-digit deficit to beat the San Antonio Spurs 102-98 as 4.5-point home favorites Thursday following a six-game Western Conference road swing that the Knicks finished 3-3 straight up and 4-2 ATS.

This is the regular-season rubber match between these sides. The home team won and covered the spread in each of the first two meetings.

Hornets at Knicks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Hornets +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Knicks -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Hornets +6 (-110) | Knicks -6 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 211.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Hornets at Knicks: Key injuries

Hornets

  • SF Miles Bridges (health and safety protocols) out
  • SF Gordon Hayward (foot) out
  • SG Cody Martin (ankle) out

Knicks

  • PG Derrick Rose (ankle) questionable
  • Mitchell Robinson (foot) out

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Hornets at Knicks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Knicks 107, Hornets 100

Money line (ML)

PASS because New York is the right side but the Knicks (-225) are the wrong price. Charlotte is a tough, well-coached team that has something to play for even though it’s banged up.

Laying more than -200 in an NBA regular-season game is something I won’t do and especially against this Hornets team.

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Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the KNICKS -6 (-110) for a half unit since New York is the healthier and sharper side.

The Hornets’ injuries to their wings negate an edge for Charlotte and if D-Rose plays New York will have the edge in both the front and backcourt.

Plus, more money is on the Knicks to cover while more bets have been placed on the Hornets plus the points, according to Pregame.com. Since the money column is considered the “sharp” side of the market, New York is the side I’ll “lean” to.

What makes this only a lean is Knicks All-Star PF Julius Randle averaged just 13.5 points per game on 43.3% true shooting (.280/.125/.857) in the first two Hornets-Knicks games this season.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 211.5 (-110) for a half unit because Knicks games are turning into defensive battles, both teams play at a bottom-10 pace and the presumed “sharp” money is backing the Under.

New York has gone Under the total in three straight games and four of its past five, and in five of its last six games as a home favorite.

Also, five of the last six Hornets-Knicks games played to the Under, including both of their meetings this season.

Lastly, according to Pregame.com, more money has been wagered on the Under but more bets have been placed on the Over, and in sports betting it’s generally sharper to follow the money rather than the crowd of people.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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