Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators odds, picks and prediction

May 1, 2021; Montreal, Quebec, CAN; Ottawa Senators forward Tim Stutzle (18) reacts with teammates after scoring a goal against the Montreal Canadiens during the second period at the Bell Centre. Mandatory Credit: Eric Bolte-USA TODAY Sports

The Ottawa Senators (22-28-5) play their final game of the 2021 NHL season Wednesday by hosting the playoff-bound Toronto Maple Leafs (35-13-6) for an 8 p.m. ET puck drop at Canadian Tire Centre. Below, we analyze the Maple Leafs-Senators odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.

The Senators are sixth in the seven-team all-Canadian North Division. They’ve played their best hockey of the season since mid-April, having gone 9-3-1, including a 6-1 loss to the Calgary Flames Sunday.

The Maple Leafs are first in the North and will play the Winnipeg Jets on the road Friday before heading into the postseason. They’ve gone 7-0-1 since a season-high five-game losing skid last month.

Toronto leads the head-to-head season series 5-3 and was a heavy favorite in each meeting.

Maple Leafs at Senators: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Maple Leafs -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Senators +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Maple Leafs -1.5 (+125) | Senators +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Maple Leafs at Senators: Projected starting goalies

Frederik Andersen (13-8-2, .897 SV%, 2.91 GAA) at Filip Gustavsson (4-1-2, .937 SV%, 2.04 GAA)

Andersen will play his first game since March 19 after an extended stint on the injured list due to a lower-body injury. He’ll have two opportunities to shake off the rust in time for the playoffs. He’s 1-2-1 against the Sens this season with a .874 save percentage and 3.67 goals against average.

Gustavsson, 22, leads all Sens goalies in GAA and SV% through six starts and two relief appearances. He won each of his last two starts, both against the Jets, and stopped 11 of 13 shots in relief Monday.

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Maple Leafs at Senators: Odds, lines, predictions and picks


Senators 4, Maple Leafs 2

Money line (ML)

The SENATORS (+155) have been a completely different team over the last month of the season and will give their fans some added hope for next season with a win over the rival Leafs Wednesday.

The youth movement has led the way for the Senators since the trade deadline and Gustavsson is still auditioning to be the goalie of the future.

The Maple Leafs have been red-hot, but they’re likely to be looking ahead to Friday’s game against the Jets and the Stanley Cup Playoffs.

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Against the spread (ATS)

With Andersen playing for the first time in nearly a month, back the SENATORS -1.5 (+360) on the alternate puck line for a 3.6-1 return on your investment if they win by 2 or more goals.

The long-time Maple Leafs goalie has struggled against the many different versions of the rival Senators he has faced over the years, including his second game of 2021 when he allowed 5 goals on a modest 24 shots.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight lean to the UNDER 6.5 (-115) if betting the total.

There’s good reason to expect Gustavsson to be the most motivated player on the ice Wednesday, as he tries to avoid being left available in the expansion draft.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit Please gamble responsibly.

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