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San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and prediction

May 5, 2021; Denver, Colorado, USA; Colorado Rockies shortstop Trevor Story (27) scores during the fourth inning against the San Francisco Giants at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Troy Babbitt-USA TODAY Sports

The San Diego Padres (20-16) and Colorado Rockies (12-23) clash again Wednesday at 3:10 p.m. ET in the first game of a doubleheader at Coors Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Yu Darvish is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 3-1 with a 2.27 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 11.7 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in 43 2/3 IP over 7 starts.

Since allowing 4 ER in his first start of the season, Darvish has surrendered a total of just 7 runs in his last 6 starts. He has made just two career starts in Colorado, in which he allowed 9 ER in 10 2/3 total IP.

RHP Jon Gray is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He is 4-2 with a 3.12 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 in 40 1/3 IP over 7 starts.

Gray has had to make 5 starts at home already this season, and in those outings has put up a 2.08 ERA with 32 K in 30 1/3 IP. He has benefited from a .200 BABIP in those starts, though, and his 3.46 FIP at home provides further evidence he has been pretty lucky.

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Pares at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Rockies +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+115) | Rockies +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Padres 5, Rockies 3

Money line (ML)

Darvish has been absolutely dominant lately, with a 38/9 K/BB in 26 IP over his last 4 starts. Even in a real tough offensive environment, he’s a good bet to keep the Colorado bats in check.

The Padres offense is a little short-handed right now with SS Fernando Tatis, Jr. and OF Wil Myers on the COVID-19 list, and a few others sidelined due to being in close contact with them.

They should still be able to put up enough runs to support Darvish, as Gray hasn’t been pitching as well as the home surface stats would suggest. Back the PADRES (-160).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Padres are 11-6 on the road this season, while ranking fourth in runs per game away from home. Nine of the 11 victories were by multiple runs, and they should have success against Gray and a weak Colorado bullpen.

The PADRES -1.5 (+115) are a strong play in this one.

Over/Under (O/U)

Yes, it’s a 7-inning game and Darvish is on the mound for the Padres, but this total is too low for a game at Coors Field, where runs can pile up in a hurry.

Look for the OVER 6.5 (-120) to hit.

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