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Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds, picks and prediction

May 1, 2021; St. Petersburg, Florida, USA; Houston Astros starting pitcher Jose Urquidy (65) delivers a pitch during the fourth inning of a game against the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. Mandatory Credit: Mary Holt-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Angels (16-19) and Houston Astros (19-17) match up for the finale of a three-game series Wednesday at 8:10 p.m. ET at Minute Maid Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Angels vs. Astros odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Andrew Heaney is the projected starting pitcher for the Angels. He is 1-2 with a 4.11 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 12.9 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 in 30 2/3 IP over six starts.

Heaney whiffed 10 batters in his last outing, the second time he has accomplished the feat this season. The first time was at Houston on April 23rd, with a clunker vs Seattle (3 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 3 HR) sandwiched in between the two recent gems.

RHP Jose Urquidy is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros. He is 3-2 with a 3.51 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 in 41 IP over seven starts.

The swing-and-miss stuff has once again been lacking for Urquidy, as he has struck out just 17.7% of opposing batters. He continues to limit the free passes, though and has allowed more than 2 ER just twice in his seven starts.

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Angels at Astros odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:12 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Angels +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Astros -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Angels +1.5 (-185) | Astros -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Astros 4, Angels 3

Money line (ML)

Both starting pitchers are faced with tough matchups. The visiting Angels rank 3rd in wRC+ vs RHP, while the Astros are 5th vs LHP, along with the 2nd lowest K%. Urquidy and Heaney have each been rolling lately, though, and should keep the game close.

Houston is at home, where the Angels are 4-13 in their last 17 contests. The Astros also have the far better run differential so far this year at +36, compared to -30 for the Angels.

Side with the ASTROS -135.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

This sets up as a game that will be tight throughout, and there doesn’t appear to be much value on either side. You really have to pay up a lot to get +1.5 with either team (-185 for Angels, -200 for Astros).

PASS on the run line.

Over/Under (O/U)

As noted above, both Heaney and Urquidy have pitched really well recently, and we’re not likely to see plenty of offensive fireworks in this one.

UNDER 8.5 (-110) looks like the side to take on this total.

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