Advertisement

Minnesota Timberwolves at Miami Heat odds, picks and prediction

Apr 16, 2021; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Miami Heat guard Duncan Robinson (55) and forward Trevor Ariza (8) defend the shot of Minnesota Timberwolves center Karl-Anthony Towns (32) during the first quarter at Target Center. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Heat (35-31) hosts Minnesota Timberwolves (20-46) Friday at American Airlines Arena for an 8 p.m. ET game. Below, we analyze the Timberwolves-Heat odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Minnesota has lost back-to-back games to the New Orleans Pelicans Saturday and Memphis Grizzlies Wednesday outright and failed to cover by a half-point in each game.

Before the last two games, the T-Wolves won four in a row and six of eight (6-1-1 against this spread in those games), which includes a 119-111 over the Heat in their first meeting this season (April 16).

The 7-seed Heat have the same record as the sixth-place Boston Celtics but are behind them, and in the play-in territory (seeds 7-10 participate in the postseason play-in), because they lose the tiebreaker.

Miami’s three-game winning streak was snapped its last time out by the Dallas Mavericks but the Heat are 7-3 overall and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games.

Timberwolves at Heat: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Timberwolves +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Heat -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Timberwolves +6 (-110) | Heat -6 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 222.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Timberwolves at Heat: Key injuries

Mavericks

  • SG Malik Beasley (hamstring) out
  • SF Jaden McDaniels (personal) out

Heat

  • SF Jimmy Butler (illness) questionable
  • SG Tyler Herro (foot) questionable
  • SG Victor Oladipo (knee) out

Special NBA Betting Promotion!

Place a $1 bet on either team’s money line, WIN an additional $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a 3-pointer during the game today. Promotion available in CO, IN, MI, NJ, TN, VA and WV. IA and PA residents, don’t miss BetMGM‘s risk-free, first-bet offer!

Place your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Timberwolves at Heat: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Heat 115, Timberwolves 112

Money line (ML)

PASS even though I’m on Minnesota plus the points in this spot and often will sprinkle on an underdog’s money line when betting them to cover because the T-Wolves (+195) invent new ways to choke away leads.

Maybe it’d be worth taking a shot on Minnesota’s money line if we knew Butler would miss tonight’s game, but at the moment let’s focus on the spread.

Play our new free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the TIMBERWOLVES +6 (-110) for a half unit pending Butler’s game status, and if he misses I’d be willing to up my bet to a full unit.

The T-Wolves upset the Heat a few weeks ago with Butler in the lineup so they could certainly do it again if he doesn’t play, and Minnesota has been cashing ATS tickets for backers recently.

And as much as I like Heat All-Star Bam Adebayo, T-Wolves big Karl-Anthony Towns is a better player with a significant size advantage.

KAT scored an easy 24 points on 8-of-14 shooting before fouling out of the previous Timberwolves-Heat meeting, and that was due in part to Butler’s aggressiveness at attacking the basket, which gets opponents into foul trouble.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET the OVER 222.5 (-115) for 1 unit because if Butler doesn’t play I anticipate Miami upping its volume of 3-point attempts, which would be bad news for a Minnesota team that has the worst 3-point defense in the league.

Also, the Over has cashed in three straight Minnesota games, seven consecutive Miami games and in eight of the previous Timberwolves-Heat meetings.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional NBA sports coverage:
HoopsHype | Celtics Wire | LeBron Wire | Lonzo Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.


More Stories

Play-in tournament: Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday's Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

Read the full article

From The Web Ads by Zergnet

Play-in tournament: San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday's San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA picks, tips and predictions.

Read the full article

Play-in tournament: Charlotte Hornets at Indiana Pacers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday's Charlotte Hornets at Indiana Pacers Play-in tournament NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and (...)

Read the full article
More NBA