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Denver Nuggets at Utah Jazz odds, picks and prediction

Jan 17, 2021; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) controls the ball as Utah Jazz center Rudy Gobert (27) guards in the fourth quarter at Ball Arena. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

The Denver Nuggets (44-22) head to Salt Lake City for a 9 p.m. ET game against the Utah Jazz (48-18) Friday at Vivint Arena. Below, we analyze the Nuggets-Jazz odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Denver beat up on the red-hot New York Knicks 113-97 to win its sixth game in the past seven contests (4-3 against the spread). The Nuggets have clinched a playoff berth and will be at least the 4-seed in the Western Conference playoffs.

Utah has won three games in a row and four of its past five while going 3-2 ATS, including back-to-back wins over the San Antonio Spurs Monday and Wednesday. The Jazz have also clinched a postseason berth and sit atop the Western Conference. They’re one game ahead of the second-place Phoenix Suns.

This is the regular-season rubber match between these two teams as each has won and covered one game, both in Denver.

Nuggets at Jazz: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nuggets +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Jazz -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nuggets +4 (-110) | Jazz -4 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 216.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Nuggets at Jazz: Key injuries

Nuggets

  • SG P.J. Dozier (groin) out
  • PG Jamal Murray (knee) out
  • SG Will Barton (hamstring) out
  • PG Monte Morris (hamstring) out

Jazz

  • PG Mike Conley (hamstring) out
  • SG Donovan Mitchell (ankle) out

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Nuggets at Jazz: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Nuggets 110, Jazz 105

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the NUGGETS (+145) for a quarter unit if at all because I “like” Denver plus the points and see some value in sprinkling on the underdog’s money line.

Both teams have equal motivation and are missing key contributors, but Nuggets C Nikola Jokic is almost a lock for the MVP and is by far the best player on the floor.

Jokic has dominated Jazz C Rudy Gobert in the past three Nuggets-Jazz meetings; he’s averaging 37.3 points per game on 60% field-goal shooting with 12.3 rebounds, 7 assists and 2.3 steals per game in those matchups.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Definitely BET NUGGETS +4 (-110) heavier than or instead of Denver’s money line because this is a “good spot” for the Nuggets.

For instance, Denver is 4-1-1 ATS vs. Utah in the past six meetings dating back to the first round of the Western Conference playoffs last season and has covered the spread in four straight games against teams with a 60% or better winning percentage.

Also, this is a “Pros vs. Joes” game in the betting market as more money is on the Nuggets to cover while more actual bets have been placed on the Jazz, according to Pregame.com.

Typically, the “sharp” side of the market is the money column whereas the tickets column is considered the “public money”. In sports betting, it’s generally wiser to follow the money rather than the crowd of bettors.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Under 216.5 (-105) since each team is missing a couple of guards so both teams’ offensive sets could be choppy.

The difference in the game will be Jokic’s brilliance but I’m not locked in enough on this total to pick one side or the other.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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