The Brooklyn Nets (43-23) travel to the American Airlines Center Thursday to play the host Dallas Mavericks (37-28) for a 7:30 p.m. ET game. Below, we analyze the Nets-Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
Brooklyn has slid to second place in the Eastern Conference thanks to a three-game losing streak including back-to-back losses to the third-place Milwaukee Bucks entering tonight.
Dallas worked the Miami Heat 127-113 Tuesday to win its fourth in the past five and seventh in the last nine games (5-4 against the spread).
The 5-seed Mavs are floating around the play-in territory with the same record as the sixth-place Los Angeles Lakers and 1 game in front of 7-seed Portland Trail Blazers (seeds 7-10 participate in the postseason play-in).
Dallas dismantled Brooklyn in the first meeting this season 115-98 but the Nets were missing Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving.
Nets at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines
- Money line: Nets -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Mavericks +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Against the spread/ATS: Nets -3.5 (-110) | Mavericks +3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 234.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Nets at Mavericks: Key injuries
- PG James Harden (hamstring) out
- PF Maxi Kleber (Achilles) out
- PF Kristaps Porzingis (knee) out
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Nets at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Mavericks 117, Nets 113
Money line (ML)
PASS with a slight “lean” to the Mavericks (+135) because I “like” Dallas plus the points, but the payout on the money line isn’t juicy enough to take against a Nets (-160) team that has performed well against quality competition.
Against the spread (ATS)
“LEAN” to the MAVERICKS +3.5 (-110) for a half unit because Dallas is 5-1 ATS in the last six games against teams with a 60% or better winning percentage and has been phenomenal vs. elite offenses.
According to CleaningTheGlass.com, the Mavs have the second-highest points per 100 possessions differential with the highest spread differential against teams in the top-10 of offensive efficiency.
Furthermore, according to Pregame.com, nearly 95% of the money wagered is on the Nets to cover, and my instinct is to fade such a lopsided market because the obvious play in sports gambling usually isn’t very profitable.
However, I’m hesitant to go further than a “lean” here because fading the Nets this season would’ve cost you a lot of money.
“LEAN” to the UNDER 234.5 (-110) for a half unit because Dallas typically slows down the pace when playing good teams.
For instance, the Mavs have played to the Under in six straight as a home underdog and 10 of their last 11 vs. teams with a 60% or better winning percentage.
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