The New York Mets (11-12) and St. Louis Cardinals (17-12) clash in a doubleheader Wednesday. The evening is slated to get underway with a 5:15 p.m. ET Game 1 start at Busch Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Marcus Stroman is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. He is 3-2 with a 1.84 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 7.1 K/9, and 1.8 BB/9 through 29 1/3 IP spanning 6 starts.
Stroman left his previous appearance due to a tight hamstring. The righty has yielded just 2 ER through 19 road frames.
LHP Kwang Hyun Kim is the projected starter for the Cardinals. He is 1-0 with a 3.29 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 10.5 K/9, and 0.7 BB/9 through 13 2/3 IP across 3 starts.
Kim owns a 2.05 ERA through his first 52 2/3 MLB innings.
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Mets at Cardinals odds, lines, picks and prediction
- Money line: Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Cardinals -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Mets -1.5 (+165) | Cardinals +1.5 (-200)
- Over/Under: 6 (O: +100 | U: -120)
Mets 4, Cardinals 3
Money line (ML)
The Cardinals took Monday’s series opener 6-5 and have won five in a row. Peg the Cards as being a couple of games or so overcooked with their overall 17-12 mark.
Batted-ball analytics do not match up at all with the similar surface numbers the Cards’ (3.83 ERA) and Mets’ (3.63 ERA) bullpens have produced to date. St. Louis relievers have benefited from a .244 BABIP and a low rate of fly balls posting as round-trippers (5.7%). New York relievers have suffered through a .312 BABIP and a low left-on-base rate of 61.9%.
Throw in a slight fade lean on Kim, mostly due to an artificially deflated ERA across 39 IP a year ago.
TAKE THE METS (-115).
The MLB doubleheader rules call for 7-inning games, so the 1.5-run hurdle becomes a bit higher. Still, keep an eye on this figure: A line of Mets -1.5 (+175) would be worth a look.
Mixed signals pop up in the analytics with a lean against the St. Louis bullpen, and plays on the New York ‘pen and the Cardinals offense.
A slight overall lean on the OVER 6 (+100) is worth a partial-unit look.
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