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Portland Trail Blazers at Indiana Pacers odds, picks and prediction

Apr 25, 2021; Orlando, Florida, USA; Indiana Pacers guard Malcolm Brogdon (7) drives to the basket as Orlando Magic guard Cole Anthony (50) looks on during the second half at Amway Center. Mandatory Credit: Mike Watters-USA TODAY Sports

The Portland Trail Blazers (32-28) drop by Bankers Life Fieldhouse Tuesday for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off against the Indiana Pacers (29-31). Below, we analyze the Trail Blazers-Pacers odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Portland has lost five in a row (2-3 against the spread) and seven of eight including back-to-back losses to the Memphis Grizzlies Friday and Sunday.

The Blazers have slid down to the 7 seed in the West (seeds 7-10 participate in the postseason play-ins), 1 game behind the sixth-place Dallas Mavericks.

Indiana has won three straight following a three-game losing skid and is 3-3 ATS in those contests.

The Pacers are comfortably in ninth place in the East, 2.5 games back of the 6th-place Boston Celtics, but 3.5 games ahead of the Chicago Bulls and Toronto Raptors, who are tied for 11th place.

Indiana trounced Portland 111-87 in the first meeting this season back in January. Pacers All-Star PF Domantas Sabonis scored 23 points on 55.5% shooting with 15 rebounds and 5 assists in the win, but he is currently out with a back injury.

Trail Blazers at Pacers: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:24 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Trail Blazers -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Pacers +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Trail Blazers -4.5 (-110) | Pacers +4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 234.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Trail Blazers at Pacers: Key injuries

Trail Blazers

  • PF Zach Collins (ankle) out

Pacers

  • SG Jeremy Lamb (knee) questionable
  • Goga Bitadze (ankle) questionable
  • Myles Turner (toe) out
  • PF Domantas Sabonis (back) out

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Trail Blazers at Pacers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Trail Blazers 124, Pacers 117

Money line (ML)

PASS because I only slightly “lean” to Portland covering but wouldn’t lay it with Trail Blazers (-190).

Furthermore, the Blazers should be motivated to get some revenge for their embarrassing loss to the Pacers earlier this season and Indiana is without its only All-Star.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the TRAIL BLAZERS -4.5 (-110) for a quarter unit since I’m not putting any stock in the Pacers’ three-game win streak.

Indiana’s last three wins have come against “tanking” teams such as the Orlando Magic, Detroit Pistons and Oklahoma City Thunder.

More importantly, the Pacers have the second-worst cover rate at home (8-20 ATS in home games) and are just 2-7 ATS with a minus-5.2-point spread differential as a home dog.

Over/Under (O/U)

TAKE OVER 234.5 (-115) for 1 unit and this is my best bet in Trail Blazers-Pacers.

Ultimately, Portland will figure out how to win this game and should execute better at the end of halves, but Indiana should put up a lot of points.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com, the Pacers attempt the second-highest volume of shots at the rim and the Blazers are 23rd in defensive field-goal shooting for attempts at the rim.

This was a big reason for Indiana’s epic blowout victory over Portland earlier this season as the Pacers outscored the Blazers in the paint 62-28.

Also, Indiana scores the second-most fast-break points per game and Portland’s defense gives up the fourth-most fast-break points per game.

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