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Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Apr 20, 2021; Seattle, Washington, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers starting pitcher Julio Urias (7) throws against the Seattle Mariners during the first inning at T-Mobile Park. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The Cincinnati Reds (9-12) and Los Angeles Dodgers (15-7) open a three-game series Monday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Reds enter on a 7-game skid, recently getting swept in 3 at the St. Louis Cardinals. The Dodgers just dropped 3 of 4 at home to the San Diego Padres, including Sunday night’s 8-7 loss in 11 innings after leading 7-1 through six innings.

This is the first Reds-Dodgers meeting since 2019 when Los Angeles took the season series 5-1.

RHP Tyler Mahle, who was Cincy’s lone winning pitcher in that 2019 head-to-head series vs. L.A., is projected to take the hill Monday. He is 1-1 with a 1.74 ERA (20 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 0.87 WHIP, 13.5 K/9 and 3.9 BB/9 in 4 starts this season.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 9 K vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday – Reds lost 8-5
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 2-1, 2.12 ERA (17 IP, 4 ER), 1.41 WHIP, 5.3 K/9 in 3 starts

LHP Julio Urias is the Dodgers’ projected starter. The southpaw is 3-0 with a 2.81 ERA (25 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.94 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 and 1.4 BB/9 in 4 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 11 K at Seattle Mariners Tuesday – Dodgers won 1-0
  • Career vs. Reds: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (6 IP, 0 ER), 6 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 1 start during his rookie campaign in 2016

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Reds at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Dodgers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Reds +1.5 (-140) | Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Dodgers 3, Reds 1

Money line (ML)

Back the DODGERS (-175) to WIN A HALF UNIT. I’m not a fan of betting an MLB favorite where it costs more than 1½ units. It’s too risky. I’d rather win on an underdog than a big favorite.

Baseball is the most unpredictable of our major sports. A bad team isn’t going to lose every game, and a stud pitcher isn’t going to win every game.

The Dodgers are 7-3 at home this season; the Reds are 2-7 on the road.

In Monday’s situation, the 1-unit, $100 bettor would wager $87.50 on LOS ANGELES (-175) to profit $50. A $20 player would bet $17.50 to profit $10.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Back LOS ANGELES -1.5 (+115) to WIN A QUARTER UNIT.

Eleven of the Dodgers’ 15 wins have been by at least 2 runs, while 9 of the Reds’ 12 losses have been by at least 2 runs.

Plus, the Reds are on an 0-for-8 ATS run and are 2-7 ATS on the road overall.

ATS records: Reds 8-13 | Dodgers 11-11

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 7.5 (-110) is worth a QUARTER-UNIT wager. Both teams have struggled at the plate lately. Cincinnati hit .217 across its last 6 games, and Los Angeles hit .197 across its last 6.

The quarter-unit bet is because the Reds’ 4.65 ERA ranks 13th in the NL, and their bullpen ranks 14th with a 5.31 ERA.

O/U records: Reds 14-6-1 | Dodgers 9-13

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 29-20-1 8-5-1 +8.9175
2021 (all sports) 132-105-2 57-46-1 +22.4675
*SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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