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Milwaukee Bucks at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Apr 15, 2021; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Milwaukee Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo (34) shoots against the Atlanta Hawks in the first quarter at State Farm Arena. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Hawks (33-27) host the Milwaukee Bucks (37-22) Sunday at the State Farm Arena for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Bucks-Hawks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Milwaukee just swept and covered against the Philadelphia 76ers in a two-game miniseries Thursday and yesterday.

The Bucks have won five of their past seven games (5-2 ATS) and are just 2 games back in the loss column of the first-place Brooklyn Nets in the East.

A banged-up Atlanta routed the Miami Heat 118-103 Friday to win its third time in the past four games and six in the last eight (6-2 ATS).

The Hawks’ loss to the New York Knicks Wednesday gave the Knicks the tiebreaker making them the 4-seed and Atlanta the 5-seed even though both of the same records as of Sunday.

The Bucks have beaten the Hawks by double digits in both of their first two meetings this season.

Bucks at Hawks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bucks -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Hawks +195 (bet $100 to win $195)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Bucks -6 (-110) | Hawks +6 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 226.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Bucks at Hawks: Key injuries

Bucks

  • None.

Hawks

  • Clint Capela (back) questionable
  • PG Trae Young (ankle) out
  • SF Tony Snell (ankle) out
  • SF De’Andre Hunter (knee) out
  • SG Cam Reddish (Achilles) out

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Bucks at Hawks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bucks 123, Hawks 108

Money line (ML)

PASS since Milwaukee is the right side, but the Bucks (-250) is too rich for my blood, especially considering a Trae Young-less Atlanta team stomped a surging Miami side in its previous game.

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Against the spread (ATS)

BET BUCKS -6 (-110) for 1 unit because both Capela and Young missed  Milwaukee’s 129-115 win against Atlanta Jan. 24.

In this Bucks-Hawks game, Hunter scored a team-high 33 points but is out with injury for this meeting, and Atlanta only grabbed five offensive boards when it averages 10.7 offensive rebounds per game.

Capela is a big reason Atlanta is third in offensive rebounding rate, and Milwaukee is third in defensive rebounding rate so his absence should be a major factor in this game.

Milwaukee is 14th in second-chance points allowed per game, and Atlanta is fourth in second-chance points per game, but that edge is dulled if Capela cannot play tonight.

Furthermore, the Bucks probably won’t look past an injury-depleted Hawks team since they are chasing the Nets for home-court advantage throughout the playoffs.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Bucks have the second-highest offensive rating in the Association over the past seven games and have gone Over the total in four of their last five.

Even if today’s Bucks-Hawks game gets into garbage time, Milwaukee can still extend its margin over Atlanta.

For instance, the Bucks put up 46 points in the fourth of their victory over the Sixers Friday with SG Donte DiVincenzo being the only starter that played in that quarter and he only was in for 1:03 minutes.

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 226.5 (-110) for a quarter unit.

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