UFC 261: Valentina Shevchenko vs. Jessica Andrade odds, picks and prediction

Apr 23, 2021; Jacksonville, Florida, USA; Valentina Shevchenko (L) and Jessica Andrade (R) gesture in front of UFC president Dana White (white shirt) during weigh-ins for UFC 261 at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena. Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

In a women’s flyweight title bout on Saturday’s main card, Valentina Shevchenko and Jessica Andrade meet at UFC 261 at the VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, Fla. The early prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, with the prelims on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET with the main card on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the UFC 261 Shevchenko vs. Andrade odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

UFC 261 Shevchenko vs. Andrade Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:17 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Shevchenko -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Andrade +375 (bet $100 to win $375)
  • Over/Under: 4.5 rounds (Over +105 | Under -125)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +110 | No -135)

Special UFC 261 betting promotion:

Bet $1 on Kamaru Usman to win and WIN $100 (in free bets) if Usman defeats Jorge Masvidal during UFC 261. Offer available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offer, terms and conditions apply. Place all of your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM Sportsbook. Take advantage of this offer and bet now!

UFC 261 Shevchenko vs. Andrade: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Records: Shevchenko 20-3 | Andrade 21-8

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

The southpaw Shevchenko (-500) puts her strap on the line, and she is a huge favorite. You cannot risk five times your potential return on the 2-way line, so let’s get specific instead.

Shevchenko will face a barrage of punches, as Andrade has 6.38 significant strikes landed per minute.

But, she might not be able to get near the champ, as Shevchenko stands four inches taller with a 4.5-inch reach advantage.

The Kyrgyzstani southpaw Muay Thai specialist has rattled off six straight victories, including title defenses in each of his past four fights.

That includes a unanimous decision win over Jennifer Maia at UFC 255 last time out Nov. 21, 2020.

SHEVCHENKO (+130) By KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION is a much better value on the 5-way line.

In addition, look to the round and method of victory section for a potentially huge payday.

SHEVCHENKO BY KO/TKO/DQ IN ROUND 3 (+1400) or SHEVCHENKO BY KO/TKO/DQ IN ROUND 4 (+1900) is worth playing.

You will lose one of the ends even if she gets the stoppage by KO/TKO or disqualification in Rounds 3 or 4, but you’ll be so far ahead if it occurs.

If you’re unsure of a winner, but want action, take KO/TKO/DQ (+150) for the fight finish without picking a specific victor.

Play our new free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under (O/U)

Betting UNDER 4.5 ROUNDS (-125) is the way to go, as I am expecting a Shevchenko finish. UNDER 3.5 (+105) is a little riskier, but still, a value play worth pursuing lightly.

The safer play is rolling with NO (-135): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE?

To watch the early prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Want some action on UFC 261? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit Please gamble responsibly.

MMA Junkie:

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

More Stories

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers odds, tips and betting trends | June 28

On Tuesday, a series opener is on the schedule, with the Milwaukee Brewers (42-33) visiting the Tampa Bay Rays (40-32) at 7:10 PM ET.The Rays (-110 on the moneyline) have an expected close game with the Brewers (also -110 on the moneyline). The Brewers will give the start to Brandon Woodruff, but the Rays' starting pitcher is yet to be announced for this game.The Rays defeated the Pirates by a 4-2 score in their last game Tuesday. Isaac Paredes went 3-for-3 with two doubles and an RBI to lead them offensively while Shane McClanahan picked up the win after...

Read the full article

From The Web Ads by Zergnet

Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates odds, tips and betting trends | June 27

At Nationals Park on Monday, the Washington Nationals (27-48) begin a three-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates (29-43), at 7:05 PM ET.The favored Nationals (-142 moneyline odds) take the field at home against the Pirates (+121). Erick Fedde (5-5) is the starter in ths one for the Washington Nationals. The Pittsburgh Pirates have yet to tab a starter for this game.The Nationals were vicotrious 6-4 over the Rangers yesterday in their last game. Jackson Tetreault was named the winning pitcher after throwing six innings, giving up one earned run on four hits while striking out four, while Juan Soto...

Read the full article

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves odds, tips and betting trends | June 28

On Tuesday, a matchup of NL East rivals is on the docket, with the Philadelphia Phillies (39-35) hosting the Atlanta Braves (42-32) at 7:05 PM ET.The Phillies are a tight favorite (-115 moneyline odds to win) when they play the Braves (-105). The Philadelphia Phillies will give the start to Zack Wheeler (6-4, 2.77 ERA), who is looking for win No. 7 on the season, and the Braves will counter with Charlie Morton (4-3, 4.84 ERA).The Phillies won their most recent contest versus the Padres by an 8-5 score Tuesday, with Nick Nelson picking up the win pitching going...

Read the full article
More UFC MMA odds, lines, picks and betting tips