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San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Apr 22, 2021; Los Angeles, California, USA; San Diego Padres left fielder Jurickson Profar (10) crosses home plate to score in the eighth inning as Los Angeles Dodgers catcher Will Smith (16) watches at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The San Diego Padres (12-10) and Los Angeles Dodgers (14-6) play Game 3 of a four-game series Saturday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Blake Snell is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. Over the last two seasons, Snell is 4-2 with a 3.44 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 11.98 K/9 and 3.86 BB/9 in 65.1 IP over 15 starts. He has posted a 4.11 ERA in 4 starts this season. He allowed 2 ER in 5 IP against LA April 18.

RHP Trevor Bauer is the projected starter for the Dodgers. Over 15 starts in 2020-21, Bauer is 7-4 with a 1.91 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, 12.4 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 in 99 IP . He has clocked a 2.42 ERA through 4 starts this season; the most recent of those was a 6-inning effort (1 ER on 3 hits) against these Padres on Sunday.

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Padres at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:00 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Dodgers -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres +1.5 (-160) | Dodgers -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Padres 3

Money line (ML)

The Friars took Friday’s game, 6-1, and have allowed just three total runs in claiming games one and two of this series. The back-to-back rivalry wins come after San Diego had gone just 2-7 over its previous nine.

The Padres look to be catching the Dodgers at the right time. Los Angeles owns a mere .547 OPS over its last six games. And with the Friars starting Snell in this one, that turns the Dodgers around to their lesser platoon splits (.682 OPS vs. left-handed pitching).

Peg a bit of play on Snell, and bank on the Padres owning the better bullpen. Current Padre bats own an .858 OPS against Bauer. TAKE SAN DIEGO +125.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Consider a PADRES +1.5 (-160) wager as an undercard bet, especially if a line watch yields a tag closer to -150. The Under is 3-1 in the last four games of this Southern California season series, and a tight game with a total near 7 would not be a surprise on Saturday.

Over/Under (O/U)

Respecting the public here, with no real lean toward any batting or pitching components being under- or over-estimated. PASS.

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