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Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and prediction

Apr 23, 2021; Denver, Colorado, USA; Colorado Rockies left fielder Raimel Tapia (15) hits a walk-off solo home run during the ninth inning against the Philadelphia Phillies at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Colorado Rockies (7-12) host the Philadelphia Phillies (9-10) for Game 2 of their three-game set at Coors Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Colorado the first game of the series with Philly in a back-and-forth contest that ended with an LF Raimel Tapia walk-off solo home run in the bottom of the 9th.

Season series: Rockies 1-0.

RHP Aaron Nola gets his fifth start for the Phillies. Nola is 1-1 with a 2.19 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 this season.

  • Last outing: Win in a CG, 2-hit, shutout gem with 10 K’s and 0 BB in Philadelphia’s 2-0 victory against the St. Louis Cardinals Friday.
  • Career vs. the Rockies: 3-0 with a 2.49 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.22 WHIP and 13.5 K/9 in 4 starts.
    • Career at Coors Field: 1-0 with a 3.55 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.42 WHIP and 11.4 K/9 in 2 starts.
    • Vs. Rockies on the current roster: 52 at-bats with a .327/.357/.519 slash line, 2 HR and 5 RBIs.

RHP Antonio Senzatela is on the mound tonight for the Rockies. Senzatela is 1-3 with a 5.40 ERA (20 IP, 12 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 5.0 K/9 in 4 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss in 6 IP with 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 4 K’s in the New York Mets’ 2-1 win Friday.
  • Career vs. Phillies: 0-2 with a 4.09 ERA (11 IP, 5 ER), 1.64 WHIP and 4.6 K/9 in 3 starts and 1 bullpen appearance.

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Phillies at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Rockies +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (-120) | Rockies +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 10 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Rockies 5, Phillies 4

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the ROCKIES (+150) for a quarter unit because Colorado is starting to show some signs of life after an abysmal start to this season.

The Rockies have won three straight and four of their last five games while the Phillies are just 3-7 in their last 10 and have a losing record (6-8) vs. right-handed starters.

Colorado’s run line is a better play but the Rockies are the right side in this one.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET ROCKIES +1.5 (+100) for 1 unit because they are the hotter team and if they can get to Philadelphia’s bullpen within a couple of runs of the lead or in front then Colorado is in very good shape.

Furthermore, the Phillies have a 5-16 run line record as a road favorite since the beginning of last season with a minus-1.5 run line margin and the Rockies are 14-10 RL as a home underdog.

Over/Under (O/U)

Nola has shown All-Star-caliber stuff thus far and has looked every bit the part of a No. 1 starter.

Senzatela is Colorado’s de facto Ace and has looked pretty good in starts vs. teams not named the “Los Angeles Dodgers”.

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 10 (-105) for a quarter unit.

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