New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Indians starting pitcher Shane Bieber (57) has a meeting at the mound after the New York Yankees scored during the fourth inning of Game 1 of the American League Wild Card Series against the New York Yankees, Tuesday, Sept. 29, 2020, in Cleveland, Ohio. [Jeff Lange/Beacon Journal] Indians 4

The New York Yankees (8-11) go for a third straight win in this four-game series at the Cleveland Indians (8-10) Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET at Progressive Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Yankees lead 2-0 – they won 6-3 Thursday and 5-3 Friday.

RHP Gerrit Cole is Saturday’s projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He’s 2-1 with a 1.82 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 0.81 WHIP, 14.2 K/9 and 1.1 BB/9 in 4 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 10 K vs. Tampa Bay Rays Sunday – Yankees lost 4-2
  • Career vs. Indians (regular season): 2-1, 2.79 ERA (29 IP, 9 ER), 0.83 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 4 starts
  • 2020 postseason vs. Indians: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 13 K in 12-3 road victory in Game 1 of best-of-2 Wild Card Series

RHP Shane Bieber is the projected Indians’ starter. The 2020 AL Cy Young winner is 2-1 with a 2.45 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.92 WHIP, 14.7 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 in 4 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 8 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 13 K at Cincinnati Reds Sunday – Indians won 6-3
  • Career vs. Yankees (regular season): 1-0, 8.31 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.62 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 in 2 starts
  • Career postseason vs. Yankees: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 12-3 home loss in Game 1 of 2020 Wild Card Series

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Yankees at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Indians +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+145) | Indians +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)


Indians 5, Yankees 4

Money line (ML)

CLEVELAND (+105) is the way to go. Bieber is the perfect medicine for the Indians to snap their 3-game losing streak. Bieber won his last two starts and has pitched well enough that he easily could be 4-0.

Bieber should be super focused for this one. In his last 2020 appearance, he lost a head-to-head matchup to Cole in Game 1 of their Wild Card Series. Bieber had all offseason to think about that outing when he was torched for 7 runs in 4 2/3 innings in a 12-3 rout. He should be ready Saturday.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. The price is too chalky for my liking in Indians +1.5 (-175).

ATS records: Yankees 8-11 | Indians 10-8

Over/Under (O/U)

As long as the O/U line stays below 7, OVER 6.5 (-105) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. If it climbs to 7, the play becomes a HALF-UNIT wager

Both starting pitchers are each 1-3 O/U this season. Cole has allowed (in order) 2, 0, 1 and 2 earned runs in his outings, while Bieber has surrendered 3, 2, 0 and 3 earned runs.

At 6.5, I like the OVER’s chances but wouldn’t be surprised if one pitcher, with or without help from his bullpen, tosses a shutout. OVER 6.5 is just too tasty!

O/U records: Yankees 7-12 | Indians 7-11

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2021 MLB 28-16-1 8-4-1 +11.0275
2021 (all sports) 131-101-2 57-45-1 +24.5775
*SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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