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Emanuel Navarrete vs. Christopher Diaz fight odds, picks and prediction

Feb 22, 2020; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Jeo Santisima (black trunks) and Emanuel Navarrete (silver trunks) box during their WBO super bantamweight title bout at MGM Grand Garden Arena. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

We get a 12-round WBO featherweight title bout Saturday when Emanuel Navarrete and Christopher Diaz meet at Silver Spurs Arena in Kissimmee, Fla. The undercard is set to begin at 6 p.m. ET, with the Navarrete-Diaz fight set for approximately 10 p.m. ET. Below, we break down the Navarrete vs. Diaz odds, with boxing picks and predictions. The fight card is televised on ESPN/ESPN+.

Navarrete vs. Diaz: Fight odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

Emanuel Navarrete -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100) | Christopher Diaz +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | Draw +2500

Navarrete has an implied win probability of 90.91% with the -1000 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 1/10 or a decimal of 1.1.

Navarrete vs. Diaz: Tale of the tape

Emanuel Navarrete

Navarrete (32-1, 27 KOs) puts his title on the line. The “Vaquero” has registered 27 knockouts in his 33 professional bouts. He hasn’t recorded a KO win in three bouts since Feb. 22, 2020, when he dropped Jeo Santisima. His next fight at Gimnasio TV Azteca in Mexico City resulted in a no contest against Uriel Lopez, and then he went the distance before outpointing Ruben Villa in The Bubble at MGM Grand in Las Vegas Oct. 9, 2020 last time out.

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Christopher Diaz

Diaz (26-2, 16 KOs) heads into this one looking for a strap, but he is a decisive underdog. “Pitufo” has rebounded with unanimous-decision wins over Adeilson Dos Santos and Jason Sanchez in two bouts since a unanimous-decision loss to Shakur Stevenson on April 20, 2019. He has lost two of his past five fights, including a title bout for the WBO belt against Masayuki Ito July 28, 2018 at the nearby Kissimmee Civic Center.

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Navarrete vs. Diaz: Odds, predictions and picks

Navarrete (-1000) will cost you 10 times your potential return, which isn’t a great return. A better play is taking NAVARRETE ON POINTS (+140) at plus-money.

Navarrete has recorded knockouts in 27 of his 32 victories, so it seems like it would be a good play. However, While Diaz has lost two of his past five fights, he has gone the distance in each of those bouts. He has proven he can eat a lot of punches and stick around. Look for this one to go the distance, with Navarrete keeping his belt by the skin of his teeth.

If you want some action on this bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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