Kamaru Usman favored in rematch vs. Jorge Masvidal by UFC 261 odds

Dec 14, 2019; Las Vegas, NV, USA; Kamaru Usman (red gloves) reacts after defeating Colby Covington (not pictured) during UFC 245 at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports

The main event of Saturday’s UFC 261 is the welterweight title fight rematch between Kamaru Usman and Jorge Masvidal. Usman will enter the octagon at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena as a heavy favorite to beat Masvidal for the second time. Below, we look at the UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal odds at BetMGM Sportsbook.

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Usman is the reigning welterweight champion and will face the division’s No. 4 contender in Masvidal. “The Nigerian Nightmare” first won the belt via unanimous decision over Tyron Woodley at UFC 235 in March 2020. He has defended it three times, including a unanimous decision win over “Gamebred” Masvidal at UFC 251 July 11, 2020.

Usman’s coming off a third-round KO/TKO win over Gilbert Burns at UFC 258 in February. Masvidal hasn’t fought since losing at UFC 251.

Also see:

Usman vs. Masvidal odds: Money line

All odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:50 p.m. ET.

Kmaru Usman -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Jorge Masvidal +310 (bet $100 to win $310)

Usman’s -400 odds as the favorite at UFC 261 represent an implied win probability of 80%. The odds can be expressed as a fraction of 1/4 or decimal of 1.25. A $100 bet would return a profit of just $25.

A $100 bet on Masvidal (+310) would return a profit of $310 with an upset victory by the heavy underdog but with an implied probability of just 24.39%. Those odds can be also be seen as a fraction of 31/10 or decimal of 4.10.

Usman vs. Masvidal odds: Over/Under (total number of rounds)

Over 1.5 (-650)Under 1.5 (+450)

The fight is heavily favored to go past the first round with a $650 bet needed for a $100 profit. The implied odds of the fight ending in Round 1 are just 18.18%.

Over 2.5 (-350)Under 2.5 (+260)

There’s a 27.78% chance of the fight ending inside the first two rounds. A $100 bet would return a profit of $260.

Over 3.5 (-250) | Under 3.5 (+200)

A finish inside the first three rounds of the welterweight title is viewed by the oddsmakers as a little more likely with 2-1 odds returning a profit of $200 on a $100 bet.

Over 4.5 (-190)Under 4.5 (+160)

The fight is expected to make it into the fifth round with a $190 bet on the Over needed for a profit of $100. The implied odds of UFC 261’s main event ending in the first four rounds are just 38.46%.

Usman vs. Masvidal odds: Will the fight go the distance?

Yes (-175)No (+145)

BetMGM is banking on Usman and Masvidal going to a decision. The implied odds of 63.64% for the fight to go the distance would return a profit of just $57.10 on a $100 bet.

A $100 bet on “No” would fetch a profit of $145.

Get some action on UFC 261 by placing a legal sports bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at Please gamble responsibly.

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