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New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Apr 10, 2021; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; The Cleveland Indians celebrate a win over the Detroit Tigers at Progressive Field. Mandatory Credit: David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees (6-11) and Cleveland Indians (8-8) meet Thursday at 6:10 p.m. ET to kick off a four-game series at Progressive Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Domingo German is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. German has made 2 starts in and around trips to the alternate training site. He is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA, 2.00 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 through 7 IP.

RHP Aaron Civale is the projected starter for the Indians. He is 3-0 with a 2.18 ERA, 0.73 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 across 20 2/3 IP over 3 starts. Civale has yielded just 2 ER over his last 13 2/3 IP. He makes this start on six days’ rest.

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Yankees at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Indians -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+155) | Indians +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Indians 5, Yankees 4

Money line (ML)

The Yankees limp into this series with a 3-9 record over their last 12 games. New York has scored just 3.1 runs per game over that anemic stretch, and the batting slump is a team-wide one. Over the 12 games, the Yankees own a slash line of .190/.274/.312.

Save for a stretch with several games against the Detroit Tigers in the first 10 days of the season, the Indians have produced at a similar offensive level but Cleveland has pitched itself to a .500 record through 16 games. The Indians tote a team ERA of 3.45 into this four-game series against the Yanks.

The line here is well-made. Cleveland has seen snow the last two nights and is ticketed for a low-40s temperature Thursday. The Indians also have a solid group of hurlers in the rotation and bullpen alike. FIGURE A SLIGHT LEAN ON CLEVELAND (-115).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

AVOID the juiced-up run lines here. Better margins can be found on the ML and O/U action.

Over/Under (O/U)

Both offenses are struggling and both bullpens are strong, but on the pull of gravity with these offenses operating with sub-.260 BABIPs and those figures filtering heavily into high-leverage situations, and with some moderate fade lean on Civale, TAKE THE OVER 8 (-110).

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