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Detroit Pistons at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and prediction

Dec 11, 2020; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Pistons guard Killian Hayes (7) reacts after a play during the first quarter against the New York Knicks at Little Caesars Arena. Mandatory Credit: Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Pistons (18-41) and San Antonio Spurs (28-29) face each other Thursday night, both playing the second game of a back-to-back. Tip-off at 8:30 p.m. ET in the Spurs’ home court, AT&T Center. Below, we analyze the Pistons-Spurs odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Pistons are coming off a 10-point defeat Wednesday to the Dallas Mavericks. They have lost five of their last six road contests and are a putrid 7-25 on the road this season. They are 7-18 against Western Conference teams.

The Spurs lost by 20 Wednesday night at home to the Miami Heat. They have lost their last four games at home and have struggled in San Antonio. They are only 12-19 on their home court this season.

San Antonio currently is in 10th place in the West, which would be good enough for play-in games to try and qualify for the postseason.

Pistons at Spurs: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:02 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pistons +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Spurs -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pistons +7.5 (-110) | Spurs -7.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 216.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Pistons at Spurs: Key injuries

Pistons

  • SG Rodney McGruder (elbow) questionable
  • PG Dennis Smith Jr. (knee) questionable

Spurs

  • PF Trey Lyles (ankle) out

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Pistons at Spurs: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Spurs 110, Pistons 104

Money line (ML)

Who do you pick in a game where one team is bad at home and the other is awful on the road?

That’s what we have Thursday with the Pistons (7-25 on the road) and Spurs (12-19 at home). The Spurs have lost five in a row at home. The Pistons have lost four in a row and five of six on the road.

For the money line, this is a no-confidence game for me. The Pistons are too bad to pick to win outright and the line isn’t priced right to want to go with the chalky pick with the Spurs.

Look at the spread and the total.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The 18-win Pistons have covered the spread 32 times this season. They surprisingly have the sixth-best cover percentage in the league at 56.1%. They are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games. They are 17-14-1 ATS on the road.

The Spurs are 5-7 ATS in their last 12 games and only 12-19 ATS at home this season.

Take the PISTONS +7.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

The Spurs’ last four games have all gone Under the projected total. Three of the last five for the Pistons have gone Under as well.

Both teams go Under more than 50% of the time, with Detroit at 51.7% and San Antonio at 52.6%.

Take UNDER 216.5 (-110).

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