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St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Apr 19, 2021; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; St. Louis Cardinals third baseman Nolan Arenado (28) stands on the field during the first inning against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

The St. Louis Cardinals (8-8) and Washington Nationals (5-9) play the middle contest of their three-game series at 7:05 p.m. ET Tuesday at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Adam Wainwright is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. He is 0-2 with a 7.11 ERA, 1.90 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 through 12 2/3 IP over 3 starts this season. Wainwright is facing the Nationals for a second straight game; he allowed 3 ER in 5 IP against Washington Wednesday. Current Nats bats own an aggregate .874 OPS against him.

LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starter for the Nationals. Corbin is 0-2 with a 21.32 ERA, 3.00 WHIP, 8.5 K/9, and 9.9 BB/9 through 6 1/3 IP over 2 starts. The veteran southpaw started the season on the COVID-19 list and made his season debut April 10 against the Los Angeles Dodgers. He has allowed 15 ER in his two outings.

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Cardinals at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Nationals -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals +1.5 (-160) |  Nationals -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

St. Louis has been at its best against lefty pitching with a .934 OPS. Peg the Cardinals as having enough on the mound and some confidence at the plate coming off a 12-run outburst Monday.

BACK THE CARDINALS (+110).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS, but for the sake of a rider on the above ML play, consider a Cardinals play if the tag approaches +160.

Over/Under (O/U)

Surface run production numbers for the Washington offense (3.6 runs per game) don’t match with the higher proficiency that shows in advanced metrics. St. Louis (5.2) has solid scoring numbers, but even its offense is perhaps underperforming given how hard the Cards have been hitting baseballs this April.

Neither starter engenders much confidence, and both bullpens have been filing average but ball-in-play deflated numbers. All the pitchers in Tuesday’s affair figure to be working against a batter’s breeze out to center.

The Over hit easily in a 12-5 Redbird win in the Monday opener. BACK OVER 9 (-120) in this one, too.

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