The NFL Schedule was released and the NFL Draft hasn’t even hit, but that isn’t going to stop us from looking ahead to the 2019 NFL season now that we have our hands on Week 1 point spreads and NFL betting lines.
Things are going to change – a ton – between now and the 2019 NFL Season kicking off. Trades, rookie additions, injuries, unexpected retirements and suspensions are all part of the game. You get that.
Generally I’m more focused on NFL Futures odds or prop bets at this time of the year, but I get that there are some of you out there itching to make your Week 1 wagers. I can’t blame you – and I may do the same thing since I’m already researching it.
Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots, Sept. 8 @ 8:20 p.m. ET
In looking at Week 1, QB Tom Brady and his New England are hosting the Steelers and it is of immediate sports betting interest to me … and it should be for you, too. You know Bill Belichick is already working up his game plan for it.
The defending Super Bowl Champion Patriots are 6.5-point favorites over the Steelers, with even odds at -110 each. New England is -270 on the moneyline; the Steelers are +230.
On the surface, that feels like a big spread between two teams generally playoff bound. The Steelers, however, have had a very well-documented offseason, losing blue-chip players in WR Antonio Brown (traded to Oakland Raiders) and RB Le’Veon Bell (left via free-agent market to New York Jets). In fairness, Bell wasn’t a factor last year due to a season-long holdout.
While the Steelers still have some nice talent, holes remain defensively holes and the offense likely won’t be clicking at full-steam out of the gate as they adjust to life post-AB.
The Patriots aren’t without change, too, with the offseason retirement of TE Rob Gronkowski and the loss of almost all of their wide receivers not named Julian Edelman. But, with Gronk, maybe he’ll be in the starting lineup in Week 1… a man can dream, right?
In their last eight encounters (playoffs included), New England has beat that 6.5-point spread all but once – last year’s mid-December match up when New England won 27-24. New England’s average points of victory in the three meetings prior to that one? A solid, if not dominating, 13.7 points/game. In the Patriots’ last 12 victories over Pittsburgh, they averaged a 12.5-victory point margin. At -110, this one is too good to pass up.
If you’re new to sports betting, the -110 means that for every $110 you spend, you’ll win $100 should the Patriots win by more than 6.5 points.
On the flip side, the -270 moneyline is too much chalk to eat for my blood and I’d rather put a bigger investment into the point-spread at that rate/return.
Want some extra action in this one? I do, and it feels like easy money. The over is at 52, with even odds at -110. I am not crazy at all about that over, which the two have played to only twice in their past seven games (playoffs included). Take the under here with confidence.
Is it football season yet?