The San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks begin a four-game weekend series at Chase Field Thursday with the first pitch being thrown at 9:40 p.m. Eastern.
San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks: Projected Starting Pitchers
RHP Pedro Avila vs. RHP Zack Godley
Avila is scheduled to make his first career major league start Thursday. He began 2019 listed as the No. 22 prospect in the Padres’ system and made his first start in Double A. Just 22 years old, he has shown excellent command through the lower levels of the minors and pitched to a 2.70 ERA over four spring training appearances.
Godley was roughed up for seven earned runs over 5 1/3 innings in his 2019 debut, but he bounced back nicely with just one earned run allowed over 5 2/3 in his second start. He has just eight strikeouts against five free passes this year but he topped nine Ks per nine in each of the previous two seasons.
San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks: By the Numbers
- The Diamondbacks took two of three in the teams’ first meeting of the year earlier this month in San Diego. Both their wins played to the over.
- Padres 3B Manny Machado has started the year slashing .244/.370/.467 through 13 games after signing a lucrative free-agent contract. He has three home runs and one stolen base.
- Chase Field is again ranked in the bottom half of the league by home run factor after a humidor system was installed ahead of 2018. The park had previously ranked as one of the most hitter-friendly stadiums on an annual basis.
San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks: Key Injuries
Padres OF Franchy Cordero was placed on the injured list over the weekend due to an elbow injury. It’s unknown whether he’ll require Tommy John surgery.
Diamondbacks 1B Jake Lamb will be out for roughly five more weeks with a quad strain. Christian Walker continues to fill in.
San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks: Picks and Betting Tips
Moneyline: The Diamondbacks are -112 favorites as they go up against the untested rookie Avila. The Padres have surprisingly dropped to -102 as of Thursday morning, but the home team is the smart play.
Against the spread: It pays a handsome +164 to take the D-backs to cover -1.5. It’s safest to let Avila prove us wrong a few times before betting on him.
Over/under: The total is set at 9 and the higher odds are on the OVER at -102. The books seem to be trusting Avila, but we’ll go with the higher payout.
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